As we flipped through the World Series Of Poker Day blogs, a hand jumped out at us.
It’s the one I edged out in 2022 POY Alex Foxen from WSOP Event #32, $3,000 NLHE 6-handed.
Playing the avenger Chris “Big Huni” Hunichen with a “winged” reputation to say the least, one of those ones that definitely falls into the “don’t try this at home” category.
The competition is in the 22nd level of the game, Blinds 15,000-30,000 with BB ante. Matthew Zambanini opens 70k from kidnappings, On the button, Chris Hunichen calls with a stack 80bbAlex Foxen draws from the big blind everything in it for 250,000, just over 8bb.
After fold by Zambanini Hunichen shakes the Head. “I’m tall,” she says out loud as she rocks Decision.
“I thought you were literally seven four suit when you called,” Foxen replies grinning.
“It’s the same spot that happened to me yesterday – continues Hunchen – but then I wanted to double the opponent more than now.”
Hunichen thought for a while before deciding to call with 6 for showdown3. Alex Foxen is 99. As we can see on our odds calculator, “Big Huni” only has a 17.8% chance of winning.
But Table 4TOQ52 he hands him the mocking scales on a silver platter. Foxen moves his chips toward his opponent while repeating, “What did you do?” What did you do?”
“I tried,” Hunichen replies with a smile.
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A “winged” call… As for the odds?
After Foxen’s push to just over 8BB, Hunichen must decide whether to bet 180,000 for a 465,000 pot. Using the usual pot-odds formula, we see that the call’s break-even point is 27.9%, rounded up to 28%.
Obviously, had Foxen had more big blinds, Hunichen would have folded without too much worry (at least we think so).
In order to understand whether his decision of 63 seconds is really to be expected positively, one would have to understand the range with which he drives Foxen. If the POY 2018-2019 only pushed the top 5% (according to PokerStove software 99+, AJs+, KQs, AKo), Hunichen would have 27% equity and therefore his call would be a loser.
If Foxen were instead wider, for example by squeezing the top 10% (which PokerStove says is 88+, A9s+, KTs+, QTs+, AJo+, KQo), Hunichen’s full-odds call would be, assuming his combo against a was such Span would have equity of 31.4%.
Don’t try this at home
Since we’re mere mortals, we’d like to give you some advice: DON’T TRY THIS AT HOME! Let’s start these promotions with super professionals like Hunichen, who has won more than ten million in live tournaments in his career.
Apparently, he acted with the assumption that the call was an amount that was one-tenth or less of the stack he had in the account at the time. But regardless of what percentage of the stack he puts into the call, and regardless of whether it was a split or not, Hunichen Foxen will open double up more than 8 times out of 10 over the long run.
Finding a tough guy like Foxen two positions to the left with a stack close to 20bb is certainly not the best of all possible scenarios.